Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.29 – 67.34

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

231 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.6 ±10.5

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 14.88Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 72.03Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 22.38Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.2 ±12.2

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 15.55Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 28.87Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 22.92Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10312, 4206, 11200

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 4206, 11200

Auto

17.7 15%

Teleop

74.6 64%

Endgame

24.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7271, 6974, 4153

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7271, 6974, 4153

Auto

19.5 27%

Teleop

39.2 54%

Endgame

13.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.3pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42
Score range: 44–132
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 312 vs event baseline 127.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.6Season APEX164.2

17.7Auto19.5

74.6Teleop39.2

24.3Endgame13.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	21
teleop	145	31
endgame	62	29
foul	0	0
total	231	81

Result

Final score

231 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 67.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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