Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
105.93 – 24.64
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
50 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 53.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 67.71Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 22.26Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 15.96Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 84.6 ±17.5
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 18.7Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 29.9Event APEX -4.35Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 19Event APEX 10.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4192, 8732, 11469
57
/ 100 compatProjected
105.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4192, 8732, 11469
Auto
26.6 26%
Teleop
51.6 51%
Endgame
23.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2657, 6768, 8512
15
/ 100 compatProjected
24.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2657, 6768, 8512
Auto
13.2 63%
Teleop
5.5 26%
Endgame
2.4 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score105.9pts
Blue projected score24.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 81.3
- Score range
- 2–129
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
157.6Season APEX84.6
26.6Auto13.2
51.6Teleop5.5
23.5Endgame2.4
67Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 17 |
| teleop | 17 | 23 |
| endgame | 11 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 25 |
| total | 50 | 75 |
Result
Final score
50 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 53.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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