Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.31 – 141.76

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.2 ±12.2

5866Fe [Iron] Tigers

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 11.32Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 41.11Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 14.88Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.8 ±10.4

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 24.49Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 31.48Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 85.79Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5866, 3561, 10312

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5866, 3561, 10312

Auto

16.2 24%

Teleop

34.3 50%

Endgame

18.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6526, 9136, 4063

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 9136, 4063

Auto

26.2 19%

Teleop

78.6 57%

Endgame

34.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.3pts

Blue projected score141.8pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.4
Score range: 44–165
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 126.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.2Season APEX221.8

16.2Auto26.2

34.3Teleop78.6

18Endgame34

11Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	32
teleop	18	78
endgame	17	46
foul	0	0
total	60	156

Result

Final score

60 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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