Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.9 – 33.62
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
105 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.9 ±14.4
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 40.34Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 51.66Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 29.9Event APEX -5.1Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 8.44Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 10.71Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 14.47Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3561, 1164, 6768
50
/ 100 compatProjected
86.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3561, 1164, 6768
Auto
23.7 31%
Teleop
38.3 49%
Endgame
15.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10312, 2657, 8732
32
/ 100 compatProjected
33.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10312, 2657, 8732
Auto
11.0 29%
Teleop
21.2 56%
Endgame
5.4 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.98
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.9pts
Blue projected score33.6pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 53.3
- Score range
- 11–110
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.9Season APEX110.2
23.7Auto11
38.3Teleop21.2
15.7Endgame5.4
31Consistency68
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 22 |
| teleop | 49 | 62 |
| endgame | 30 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 105 | 97 |
Result
Final score
105 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.