Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.69 – 45.04

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

278 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.9 ±10

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 22.66Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 206.26Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11469Ignis Mechanica

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 11.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 118.2 ±14.1

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 4.45Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9457Robot X

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 17.92Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 22.67Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6526, 6369, 11469

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 6369, 11469

Auto

43.9 19%

Teleop

129.0 55%

Endgame

63.6 27%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9080, 9457, 11200

/ 100 compat

Projected

45 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9080, 9457, 11200

Auto

13.0 34%

Teleop

9.9 26%

Endgame

15.3 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score240.7pts

Blue projected score45pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 195.7
Score range: 22–264
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 126.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.9Season APEX118.2

43.9Auto13

129Teleop9.9

63.6Endgame15.3

13Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	11
teleop	147	34
endgame	64	7
foul	0	0
total	278	52

Result

Final score

278 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.