Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
115.97 – 167.81
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
135 – 272
Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 20.57Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 75.94Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 19.46Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.8 ±11
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 26.24Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 119.36Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 22.21Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5613, 4063, 7271
60
/ 100 compatProjected
116 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5613, 4063, 7271
Auto
21.5 19%
Teleop
59.8 53%
Endgame
32.0 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5411, 3310, 9105
75
/ 100 compatProjected
167.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5411, 3310, 9105
Auto
43.5 28%
Teleop
87.9 56%
Endgame
24.4 16%
Strengths
- · 3310 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116pts
Blue projected score167.8pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -51.8
- Score range
- 94–190
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
223.1Season APEX235.8
21.5Auto43.5
59.8Teleop87.9
32Endgame24.4
49Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 48 |
| teleop | 71 | 161 |
| endgame | 34 | 58 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 135 | 272 |
Result
Final score
135 – 272
Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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