Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
51.99 – 66.18
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
116 – 41
Prediction missed · off by 44.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 9.19Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 29.21Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 13.59Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 11.15Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90Event APEX 34.26Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 20.77Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8732, 9136, 9105
40
/ 100 compatProjected
52 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8732, 9136, 9105
Auto
11.8 25%
Teleop
30.8 65%
Endgame
5.0 11%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10312, 4734, 7271
40
/ 100 compatProjected
66.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10312, 4734, 7271
Auto
17.2 26%
Teleop
39.7 61%
Endgame
8.1 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52pts
Blue projected score66.2pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -14.2
- Score range
- 30–88
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
121.7Season APEX193.6
11.8Auto17.2
30.8Teleop39.7
5Endgame8.1
139Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 24 |
| teleop | 53 | 17 |
| endgame | 34 | 0 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 116 | 41 |
Result
Final score
116 – 41
Prediction missed · off by 44.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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