Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
66.18 – 19.69
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
26 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 60.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 19Event APEX 19.73Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 27.16Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 19.29Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134 ±13.9
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX -7.56Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -2.57Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 29.82Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8512, 9492, 5411
41
/ 100 compatProjected
66.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8512, 9492, 5411
Auto
21.5 33%
Teleop
26.4 40%
Endgame
17.5 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9080, 2657, 8528
17
/ 100 compatProjected
19.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9080, 2657, 8528
Auto
11.9 46%
Teleop
4.9 19%
Endgame
9.0 35%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score66.2pts
Blue projected score19.7pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46.5
- Score range
- -2–88
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
138.6Season APEX134
21.5Auto11.9
26.4Teleop4.9
17.5Endgame9
48Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 19 |
| teleop | 6 | 68 |
| endgame | 5 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 26 | 101 |
Result
Final score
26 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 60.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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