Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.53 – 86.52

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 10 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.2 ±9.8

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 70.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 123.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 73.68Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.2 ±11

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 37.17Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7540Timberwolf Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 28.07Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 21.28Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4192, 3310, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4192, 3310, 4206

Auto

53.8 20%

Teleop

152.7 58%

Endgame

58.5 22%

Strengths

· 3310 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3561, 7540, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3561, 7540, 6526

Auto

22.6 31%

Teleop

34.3 47%

Endgame

15.9 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.5pts

Blue projected score86.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 182
Score range: 65–291
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 123.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.2Season APEX188.2

53.8Auto22.6

152.7Teleop34.3

58.5Endgame15.9

57Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	24
teleop	151	33
endgame	39	31
foul	0	0
total	250	88

Result

Final score

250 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 10 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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