Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.76 – 62.93

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 116.2 ±14.6

9457Robot X

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 27.82Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 14.37Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 5.57Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.4 ±10.4

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 13.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 21.45Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 28.46Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9457, 7271, 8732

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9457, 7271, 8732

Auto

18.1 34%

Teleop

21.5 41%

Endgame

13.1 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10994, 9136, 4153

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10994, 9136, 4153

Auto

22.2 30%

Teleop

48.0 64%

Endgame

4.3 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.8pts

Blue projected score62.9pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.2
Score range: 26–85
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 124.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

116.2Season APEX173.4

18.1Auto22.2

21.5Teleop48

13.1Endgame4.3

150Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	22	80
endgame	14	22
foul	0	0
total	53	118

Result

Final score

53 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.