Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
259.86 – 271.03
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
312 – 221
Prediction missed · off by 51.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 47.35Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 162.45Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 50.06Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.9 ±11.4
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 29.03Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.4Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 228.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3561, 6773, 4192
81
/ 100 compatProjected
259.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3561, 6773, 4192
Auto
54.3 21%
Teleop
148.5 59%
Endgame
50.2 20%
Strengths
- · 6773 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8528, 5613, 6369
80
/ 100 compatProjected
271 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8528, 5613, 6369
Auto
42.4 16%
Teleop
150.9 56%
Endgame
75.1 28%
Strengths
- · 6369 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score259.9pts
Blue projected score271pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11.2
- Score range
- 234–297
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
386.3Season APEX419.9
54.3Auto42.4
148.5Teleop150.9
50.2Endgame75.1
0Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 55 | 27 |
| teleop | 192 | 107 |
| endgame | 65 | 82 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 312 | 221 |
Result
Final score
312 – 221
Prediction missed · off by 51.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.