Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.74 – 18.1

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

102 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.6 ±11.6

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 8.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 35.99Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11469Ignis Mechanica

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 3.59Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.8 ±11

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 4.18Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX -0.8Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 14.72Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9136, 1164, 11469

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9136, 1164, 11469

Auto

14.8 35%

Teleop

22.6 54%

Endgame

4.6 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6526, 8732, 9492

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 8732, 9492

Auto

9.1 93%

Teleop

7.0 71%

Endgame

-6.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.7pts

Blue projected score18.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.6
Score range: -4–70
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 123.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.6Season APEX140.8

14.8Auto9.1

22.6Teleop7

4.6Endgame-6.3

76Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	17
teleop	66	29
endgame	18	26
foul	0	0
total	102	72

Result

Final score

102 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.