Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.25 – 29.75
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
76 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 40.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 13.08Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 31.4Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 35.77Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.5 ±13.6
Season APEX 25.9Event APEX -2.65Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 15.39Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 17.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2657, 7540, 8528
51
/ 100 compatProjected
80.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2657, 7540, 8528
Auto
20.4 25%
Teleop
40.5 50%
Endgame
20.8 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9457, 5613, 4153
22
/ 100 compatProjected
29.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9457, 5613, 4153
Auto
8.9 27%
Teleop
7.3 22%
Endgame
17.2 51%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.3pts
Blue projected score29.8pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 50.5
- Score range
- 8–102
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
147.9Season APEX142.5
20.4Auto8.9
40.5Teleop7.3
20.8Endgame17.2
0Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 26 |
| teleop | 32 | 54 |
| endgame | 19 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 76 | 106 |
Result
Final score
76 – 106
Prediction missed · off by 40.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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