Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.02 – 110.43

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

198 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.4 ±10.4

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 35.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 26.43Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 106.16Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.7 ±12.2

5866Fe [Iron] Tigers

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 16.02Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 63.56Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 30.85Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11200, 10994, 3310

/ 100 compat

Projected

168 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11200, 10994, 3310

Auto

40.3 25%

Teleop

90.4 55%

Endgame

32.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5866, 4063, 9105

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5866, 4063, 9105

Auto

22.4 19%

Teleop

70.5 60%

Endgame

24.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score168pts

Blue projected score110.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.6
Score range: 88–190
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 121.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.4Season APEX185.7

40.3Auto22.4

90.4Teleop70.5

32.9Endgame24

52Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	24
teleop	107	59
endgame	44	49
foul	0	0
total	198	132

Result

Final score

198 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.