Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.04 – 170.4

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.4 ±11

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 29.22Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 8.46Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 62.36Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.9 ±12.2

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 99.75Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7271Hangar 84

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 31.12Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1164Project NEO

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 39.53Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9105, 6526, 4192

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9105, 6526, 4192

Auto

22.5 23%

Teleop

53.5 55%

Endgame

20.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3310, 7271, 1164

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3310, 7271, 1164

Auto

28.8 17%

Teleop

109.3 65%

Endgame

30.3 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100pts

Blue projected score170.4pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.4
Score range: 78–192
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 324 vs event baseline 122.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.4Season APEX248.9

22.5Auto28.8

53.5Teleop109.3

20.8Endgame30.3

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	56
teleop	59	102
endgame	23	32
foul	0	15
total	119	205

Result

Final score

119 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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