Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
57.16 – 20.05
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
51 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 16.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 29.83Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 13.53Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 13.8Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.2 ±11
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 16.39Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.6Event APEX -5.46Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 9.12Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4153, 9492, 2657
43
/ 100 compatProjected
57.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4153, 9492, 2657
Auto
9.3 16%
Teleop
37.6 66%
Endgame
10.5 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5411, 8732, 10994
14
/ 100 compatProjected
20 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5411, 8732, 10994
Auto
11.6 58%
Teleop
17.8 89%
Endgame
-9.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score57.2pts
Blue projected score20pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 37.1
- Score range
- -2–79
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
161.3Season APEX143.2
9.3Auto11.6
37.6Teleop17.8
10.5Endgame-9.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 21 |
| teleop | 16 | 10 |
| endgame | 11 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 51 | 46 |
Result
Final score
51 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 16.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.