Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.2 – 70

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222 ±12.2

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 94.72Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9080ENIGMA

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX -16.95Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.43Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±11.6

11469Ignis Mechanica

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX -14.03Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 15.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4063TriKzR4Kidz

Season APEX 114.6Event APEX 68.47Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3310, 9080, 10312

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3310, 9080, 10312

Auto

21.4 22%

Teleop

62.1 65%

Endgame

11.9 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11469, 6974, 4063

/ 100 compat

Projected

70 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11469, 6974, 4063

Auto

14.0 21%

Teleop

31.7 48%

Endgame

20.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.2pts

Blue projected score70pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.2
Score range: 49–117
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222Season APEX191.6

21.4Auto14

62.1Teleop31.7

11.9Endgame20.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	29
teleop	83	58
endgame	22	35
foul	0	0
total	134	122

Result

Final score

134 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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