Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.05 – 85.77
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
60 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 34.6 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 122.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 29.05Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 34.1Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 22.9Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 2.72Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 35.42Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 47.63Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11200, 5866, 2657
56
/ 100 compatProjected
86.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11200, 5866, 2657
Auto
16.0 19%
Teleop
51.5 62%
Endgame
15.1 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9492, 9105, 4206
58
/ 100 compatProjected
85.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9492, 9105, 4206
Auto
16.0 18%
Teleop
51.4 59%
Endgame
20.4 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.1pts
Blue projected score85.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.3
- Score range
- 65–107
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
122.4Season APEX295.9
16Auto16
51.5Teleop51.4
15.1Endgame20.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 18 |
| teleop | 25 | 78 |
| endgame | 20 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 60 | 129 |
Result
Final score
60 – 129
Prediction missed · off by 34.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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