Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.15 – 71.86

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

66 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262.3 ±14

6768Denison Robo-Jackets

Season APEX 29.9Event APEX 1.58Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 19.8Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 99.77Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160 ±11.6

7540Timberwolf Robotics

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 39.36Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 13.68Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.82Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6768, 8732, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6768, 8732, 4206

Auto

16.7 15%

Teleop

73.1 65%

Endgame

23.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7540, 5411, 10312

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7540, 5411, 10312

Auto

20.9 30%

Teleop

31.0 44%

Endgame

17.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.2pts

Blue projected score71.9pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.3
Score range: 46–147
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 94 vs event baseline 143.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262.3Season APEX160

16.7Auto20.9

73.1Teleop31

23.4Endgame17.9

39Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	9
teleop	38	12
endgame	16	7
foul	0	0
total	66	28

Result

Final score

66 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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