Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

414.56 – 255.49

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

417 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 582.1 ±8.8

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 162.57Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 23.63Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 228.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±9.8

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 122.61Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 35.09Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 97.79Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6773, 10994, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

414.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6773, 10994, 6369

Auto

73.4 18%

Teleop

242.0 60%

Endgame

87.8 22%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3310, 11200, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3310, 11200, 4206

Auto

41.3 16%

Teleop

150.2 59%

Endgame

62.6 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score414.6pts

Blue projected score255.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159.1
Score range: 230–440
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 734 vs event baseline 140.4.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

582.1Season APEX391.4

73.4Auto41.3

242Teleop150.2

87.8Endgame62.6

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	51
teleop	211	166
endgame	86	80
foul	45	20
total	417	317

Result

Final score

417 – 317

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Match videos

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