Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.61 – 240.43

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 582.1 ±8.8

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 163.27Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 24.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 228.12Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.4 ±9.8

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 117.64Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 29.96Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 92.83Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6773, 10994, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6773, 10994, 6369

Auto

73.4 18%

Teleop

246.4 61%

Endgame

85.8 21%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3310, 11200, 4206

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3310, 11200, 4206

Auto

40.9 17%

Teleop

142.9 60%

Endgame

55.1 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score415.6pts

Blue projected score240.4pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 175.2
Score range: 215–441
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 791 vs event baseline 137.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

582.1Season APEX391.4

73.4Auto40.9

246.4Teleop142.9

85.8Endgame55.1

0Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	45
teleop	213	209
endgame	105	125
foul	20	0
total	412	379

Result

Final score

412 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 pts

Match videos

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