Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.32 – 104.54

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 522.3 ±12.7

8242Tekno NFL

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 23.49Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 82.88Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 68.95Rank 3Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.4 ±11

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 48.85Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 17.4Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 38.29Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8242, 4481, 9029

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8242, 4481, 9029

Auto

32.6 19%

Teleop

104.8 60%

Endgame

38.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6431, 4191, 7611

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6431, 4191, 7611

Auto

12.4 14%

Teleop

52.0 57%

Endgame

27.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.3pts

Blue projected score104.5pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.8
Score range: 84–196
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 115.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

522.3Season APEX346.4

32.6Auto12.4

104.8Teleop52

38.6Endgame27.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	27
teleop	101	105
endgame	63	61
foul	0	5
total	214	198

Result

Final score

214 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 pts

Match videos

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