Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.25 – 78.3

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.7 ±12.1

10428KAIZEN

Season APEX 65Event APEX 28.3Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 15.25Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 11.7Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±14.5

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 17.78Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

9233Luminous Robotics Team

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 29.52Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11244Avrasya Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX 31Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10428, 8153, 10043

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10428, 8153, 10043

Auto

11.1 20%

Teleop

30.1 54%

Endgame

14.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9132, 9233, 11244

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9132, 9233, 11244

Auto

21.0 28%

Teleop

33.7 45%

Endgame

20.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.3pts

Blue projected score78.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23
Score range: 35–98
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 112.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.7Season APEX228

11.1Auto21

30.1Teleop33.7

14.6Endgame20.2

0Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	31
teleop	24	46
endgame	16	15
foul	15	5
total	82	97

Result

Final score

82 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.