Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

428.5 – 39

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

582 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 79.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 643.5 ±12.4

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 304.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 115.59Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 7.96Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±16.2

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 6.03Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 24.37Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

6064IstanBULLS

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 8.6Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 6436, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 6436, 10141

Auto

77.6 18%

Teleop

268.2 63%

Endgame

78.3 18%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11000, 11036, 6064

/ 100 compat

Projected

39 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11000, 11036, 6064

Auto

16.0 42%

Teleop

17.7 47%

Endgame

4.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score428.5pts

Blue projected score39pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 389.5
Score range: 19–449
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 627 vs event baseline 108.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

643.5Season APEX169.6

77.6Auto16

268.2Teleop17.7

78.3Endgame4.1

40Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	24
teleop	360	16
endgame	127	5
foul	0	0
total	582	45

Result

Final score

582 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 79.8 pts

Match videos

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