Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.6 – 91.87

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.1 ±12.7

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 21.9Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 80

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 87.82Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 73.88Rank 3Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±14.5

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 22.74Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

9233Luminous Robotics Team

Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 34.88Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11244Avrasya Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX 34.25Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11416, 4481, 9029

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11416, 4481, 9029

Auto

34.2 19%

Teleop

109.5 60%

Endgame

39.5 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9132, 9233, 11244

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9132, 9233, 11244

Auto

24.8 28%

Teleop

42.0 48%

Endgame

20.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score183.6pts

Blue projected score91.9pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.7
Score range: 70–206
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 407 vs event baseline 119.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.1Season APEX228

34.2Auto24.8

109.5Teleop42

39.5Endgame20.4

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	26
teleop	156	39
endgame	89	28
foul	0	0
total	314	93

Result

Final score

314 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 pts

Match videos

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