Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

475.6 – 180.09

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

551 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 643.5 ±12.4

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 320.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 131.49Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 23.72Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 522.3 ±12.7

8242Tekno NFL

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 25.01Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 84.32Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 70.76Rank 3Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 6436, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

475.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 6436, 10141

Auto

81.3 17%

Teleop

297.2 63%

Endgame

94.7 20%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8242, 4481, 9029

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.1 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8242, 4481, 9029

Auto

34.9 19%

Teleop

103.4 57%

Endgame

42.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score475.6pts

Blue projected score180.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 295.5
Score range: 159–497
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 809 vs event baseline 116.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

643.5Season APEX522.3

81.3Auto34.9

297.2Teleop103.4

94.7Endgame42.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	75
teleop	341	112
endgame	88	71
foul	20	0
total	551	258

Result

Final score

551 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Match videos

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