Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55.14 – 27.48

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 51.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.7 ±10.5

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 4.86Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 35.71Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX 14.57Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.9 ±15.4

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX -8.25Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8242Tekno NFL

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 6.29Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 29.44Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9583, 6436, 7611

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 6436, 7611

Auto

12.0 22%

Teleop

30.9 56%

Endgame

12.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9077, 8242, 11036

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9077, 8242, 11036

Auto

2.3 9%

Teleop

11.3 47%

Endgame

10.7 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.1pts

Blue projected score27.5pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.7
Score range: 11–71
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 87.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.7Season APEX207.9

12Auto2.3

30.9Teleop11.3

12.3Endgame10.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	7
teleop	44	67
endgame	23	41
foul	0	0
total	70	115

Result

Final score

70 – 115

Prediction missed · off by 51.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.