Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.91 – 94.43

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 2.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 91.8 ±17.9

9595ECHO

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 22.85Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11281Phoenix Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 31.45Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6064IstanBULLS

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 8.61Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.8 ±14.9

10146ROBIS

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 14.25Rank 21Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 76

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 49.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11244Avrasya Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX 30.45Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9595, 11281, 6064

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9595, 11281, 6064

Auto

16.8 30%

Teleop

22.8 40%

Endgame

16.8 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10146, 9077, 11244

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10146, 9077, 11244

Auto

10.9 15%

Teleop

42.8 57%

Endgame

21.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.9pts

Blue projected score94.4pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.5
Score range: 43–114
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

91.8Season APEX328.8

16.8Auto10.9

22.8Teleop42.8

16.8Endgame21

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	18
teleop	17	51
endgame	12	21
foul	5	0
total	62	90

Result

Final score

62 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 2.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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