Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

366.69 – 118.57

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

286 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 82.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.6 ±16

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 312.9Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 32.48Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

10050Sea Dragons

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 21.31Rank 18Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.8 ±11.9

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 87.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 21.54Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 9.64Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 11036, 10050

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.7 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 11036, 10050

Auto

67.0 18%

Teleop

232.9 64%

Endgame

64.8 18%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4481, 9132, 4191

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~0.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4481, 9132, 4191

Auto

31.7 27%

Teleop

58.1 50%

Endgame

25.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score366.7pts

Blue projected score118.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 248.1
Score range: 100–386
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 107.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.6Season APEX400.8

67Auto31.7

232.9Teleop58.1

64.8Endgame25.5

5Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	16
teleop	213	9
endgame	12	9
foul	0	0
total	286	34

Result

Final score

286 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 82.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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