Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.35 – 91.21

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.7 ±15.1

10064HanniBal

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 7.25Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8242Tekno NFL

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 18.79Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9601BageTech

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 10.31Rank 32Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±12.1

5883Spice Gears

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 25.22Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 17.51Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 48.48Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10064, 8242, 9601

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10064, 8242, 9601

Auto

7.7 24%

Teleop

12.0 37%

Endgame

12.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5883, 10043, 3646

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5883, 10043, 3646

Auto

13.6 15%

Teleop

49.9 57%

Endgame

24.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score36.4pts

Blue projected score91.2pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.9
Score range: 16–111
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 78 vs event baseline 108.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.7Season APEX242.4

7.7Auto13.6

12Teleop49.9

12.9Endgame24.4

0Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	10
teleop	3	36
endgame	5	18
foul	0	0
total	14	64

Result

Final score

14 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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