Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.47 – 138.07

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.6 ±14.1

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 38.54Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 8.75Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 5.18Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±15.4

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 32.79Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

6064IstanBULLS

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 2.8Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 102.48Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9077, 9132, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9077, 9132, 10141

Auto

9.6 21%

Teleop

24.2 53%

Endgame

11.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11036, 6064, 6436

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11036, 6064, 6436

Auto

23.6 17%

Teleop

77.9 57%

Endgame

36.2 26%

Strengths

· 6436 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score52.5pts

Blue projected score138.1pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.6
Score range: 33–157
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 105.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.6Season APEX291.3

9.6Auto23.6

24.2Teleop77.9

11.8Endgame36.2

96Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	47
teleop	54	107
endgame	20	48
foul	40	0
total	138	202

Result

Final score

138 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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