Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
İstanbul Regional

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55.76 – 50.04

52%48%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

77 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.8 ±13.3
9233Luminous Robotics Team
D
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX 16.47Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
8557ConquEra
D
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 11.85Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10043Conscius Robotics
D
Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 27.44Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.7 ±16.9
11036ALEV ROBOTICS
D
Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 35.16Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79
10064HanniBal
D
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 20.89Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
7296TeRoBoT
D
Season APEX 23.2Event APEX -6.01Rank 31Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9233, 8557, 10043
38
/ 100 compat
Projected
55.8 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 9233, 8557, 10043
Auto
4.8 9%
Teleop
32.7 59%
Endgame
17.7 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11036, 10064, 7296
33
/ 100 compat
Projected
50 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 11036, 10064, 7296
Auto
4.0 8%
Teleop
23.2 45%
Endgame
24.5 47%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score55.8pts
Blue projected score50pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
5.7
Score range
31–75
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 103.6.

← PreviousNext →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.8Season APEX119.7
4.8Auto4
32.7Teleop23.2
17.7Endgame24.5
18Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1019
teleop3810
endgame290
foul05
total7734

Result

Final score

77 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.