Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.89 – 82.85

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 189

Prediction missed · off by 57.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.9 ±16.4

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 32.8Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 41.59Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10146ROBIS

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 17.5Rank 21Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.1 ±14

10050Sea Dragons

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 16.16Rank 18Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 50.82Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8153Tech4Peace

Season APEX 70Event APEX 15.87Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11036, 3646, 10146

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11036, 3646, 10146

Auto

21.4 25%

Teleop

43.4 50%

Endgame

21.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10050, 4481, 8153

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10050, 4481, 8153

Auto

18.5 24%

Teleop

52.3 67%

Endgame

7.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score91.9pts

Blue projected score82.9pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9
Score range: 65–110
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 99.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.9Season APEX417.1

21.4Auto18.5

43.4Teleop52.3

21.2Endgame7.6

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	22
teleop	62	122
endgame	17	45
foul	0	0
total	100	189

Result

Final score

100 – 189

Prediction missed · off by 57.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.