Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
İstanbul Regional

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.05 – 19.44

85%15%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.7 ±11.7
6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS
B
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 88.01Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10064HanniBal
D
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 18.93Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9077The Crown
B
Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 52.11Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.1 ±14.5
11000NEOCHIRON
C
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 12.26Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9601BageTech
D
Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 0.73Rank 32Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10141Turing Robotics
D
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 6.45Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6436, 10064, 9077
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
159.1 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 6436, 10064, 9077
Auto
16.7 10%
Teleop
95.2 60%
Endgame
47.8 30%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11000, 9601, 10141
23
/ 100 compat
Projected
19.4 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 11000, 9601, 10141
Auto
1.3 8%
Teleop
11.8 76%
Endgame
2.4 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score159.1pts
Blue projected score19.4pts
Red win probability85%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
139.6
Score range
1–177
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 99.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.7Season APEX194.1
16.7Auto1.3
95.2Teleop11.8
47.8Endgame2.4
22Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3913
teleop1118
endgame541
foul015
total20437

Result

Final score

204 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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