Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.65 – 65.97

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 68.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.7 ±13.9

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 23.01Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 9.6Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 13.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±13.7

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 30.48Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11281Phoenix Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 31.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10064HanniBal

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 3.93Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10043, 9132, 11000

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10043, 9132, 11000

Auto

17.4 44%

Teleop

13.1 33%

Endgame

9.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4481, 11281, 10064

/ 100 compat

Projected

66 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4481, 11281, 10064

Auto

12.2 20%

Teleop

33.6 55%

Endgame

15.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score45.7pts

Blue projected score66pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.3
Score range: 29–83
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 94.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.7Season APEX381.8

17.4Auto12.2

13.1Teleop33.6

9.4Endgame15.2

22Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	35
teleop	24	105
endgame	10	60
foul	0	0
total	48	200

Result

Final score

48 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 68.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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