Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.55 – 259.26

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 88.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.1 ±12.7

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 65.76Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11036ALEV ROBOTICS

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 30.16Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 9.63Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±14.4

10146ROBIS

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 1.02Rank 21Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 76

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 253.59Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10043Conscius Robotics

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 4.65Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 11036, 9583

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6431, 11036, 9583

Auto

17.2 16%

Teleop

51.3 48%

Endgame

37.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10146, 9483, 10043

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10146, 9483, 10043

Auto

44.1 17%

Teleop

163.7 63%

Endgame

52.2 20%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score105.6pts

Blue projected score259.3pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.7
Score range: 90–275
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 542 vs event baseline 89.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.1Season APEX441.7

17.2Auto44.1

51.3Teleop163.7

37.8Endgame52.2

70Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	80
teleop	49	256
endgame	54	72
foul	5	0
total	134	408

Result

Final score

134 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 88.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.