Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.04 – 7.13

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.8 ±12.9

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 73.89Rank 3Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5883Spice Gears

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 31.3Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 8.85Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.3 ±14.8

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 43.49Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7296TeRoBoT

Season APEX 23.2Event APEX -19.4Rank 31Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7611Amal Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 87Event APEX -16.96Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9029, 5883, 9132

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9029, 5883, 9132

Auto

28.4 29%

Teleop

52.0 53%

Endgame

18.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3646, 7296, 7611

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3646, 7296, 7611

Auto

4.0 43%

Teleop

16.2 100%

Endgame

-11.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score114pts

Blue projected score7.1pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.9
Score range: -9–130
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 88.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.8Season APEX234.3

28.4Auto4

52Teleop16.2

18.3Endgame-11

92Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	13
teleop	74	38
endgame	29	40
foul	0	15
total	128	106

Result

Final score

128 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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