Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.55 – 14.1

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.6 ±11.2

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 10.39Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 84.5Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 30.66Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.4 ±15.4

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX -0.32Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6064IstanBULLS

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 8.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 5.74Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11000, 6436, 4481

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11000, 6436, 4481

Auto

11.5 10%

Teleop

72.5 61%

Endgame

34.0 29%

Strengths

· 6436 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4191, 6064, 11416

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4191, 6064, 11416

Auto

3.7 74%

Teleop

-0.7 0%

Endgame

2.0 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.6pts

Blue projected score14.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.5
Score range: -2–142
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 88.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

620.6Season APEX158.4

11.5Auto3.7

72.5Teleop-0.7

34Endgame2

7Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	9
teleop	110	6
endgame	17	8
foul	0	0
total	162	23

Result

Final score

162 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.