Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

485.76 – 204.98

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

564 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 643.5 ±12.4

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 324.91Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6436NARBULUT PARS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 133.67Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 27.18Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.1 ±12.7

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 30.72Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 80

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 94.14Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9029Team NF

Season APEX 203.7Event APEX 80.12Rank 3Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 6436, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

485.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 6436, 10141

Auto

83.8 17%

Teleop

303.5 63%

Endgame

93.4 19%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11416, 4481, 9029

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11416, 4481, 9029

Auto

39.9 19%

Teleop

117.2 57%

Endgame

47.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score485.8pts

Blue projected score205pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 280.8
Score range: 183–508
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 876 vs event baseline 121.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

643.5Season APEX538.1

83.8Auto39.9

303.5Teleop117.2

93.4Endgame47.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	66
teleop	361	135
endgame	100	111
foul	15	0
total	564	312

Result

Final score

564 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts

Match videos

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