Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.97 – 82.2

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

114 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.6 ±13.3

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 47.5Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 32.57Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9024Callister

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 35.9Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.3 ±13.3

7576FMWill

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 9.21Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 41.48Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 31.51Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10234, 10604, 9024

/ 100 compat

Projected

116 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10234, 10604, 9024

Auto

14.1 12%

Teleop

58.1 51%

Endgame

41.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7576, 7748, 8084

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7576, 7748, 8084

Auto

12.4 17%

Teleop

30.5 43%

Endgame

28.2 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score116pts

Blue projected score82.2pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.8
Score range: 57–141
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 140.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.6Season APEX196.3

14.1Auto12.4

58.1Teleop30.5

41.9Endgame28.2

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	18
teleop	46	49
endgame	10	36
foul	35	5
total	114	108

Result

Final score

114 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.