Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

330.88 – 145.61

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.6 ±13.1

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 17.6Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 211.94Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 101.34Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±13.6

7536ANKA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 67.12Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 66.32Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6232Florya Bisons

Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 12.17Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11382, 10131, 9692

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 11382, 10131, 9692

Auto

44.2 14%

Teleop

192.9 60%

Endgame

82.8 26%

Strengths

· 10131 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7536, 9545, 6232

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.6 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7536, 9545, 6232

Auto

25.7 19%

Teleop

78.4 59%

Endgame

28.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score330.9pts

Blue projected score145.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.3
Score range: 121–356
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 138.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.6Season APEX266.6

44.2Auto25.7

192.9Teleop78.4

82.8Endgame28.5

0Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	53
teleop	188	87
endgame	95	53
foul	0	5
total	361	198

Result

Final score

361 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts

Match videos

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