Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.8 – 44.1

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.6 ±13.1

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 13.71Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10131Royal Turtles

Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 209.06Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9692Sigma

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 98.03Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.3 ±20.8

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 10.84Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8264ATA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 7.08Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 26.18Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11382, 10131, 9692

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 11382, 10131, 9692

Auto

32.9 11%

Teleop

191.2 63%

Endgame

81.8 27%

Strengths

· 10131 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7298, 8264, 10932

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7298, 8264, 10932

Auto

15.8 38%

Teleop

24.0 58%

Endgame

1.9 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.29 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score320.8pts

Blue projected score44.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 276.7
Score range: 20–345
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 135.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.6Season APEX223.3

32.9Auto15.8

191.2Teleop24

81.8Endgame1.9

39Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	14
teleop	195	17
endgame	85	8
foul	0	0
total	353	39

Result

Final score

353 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 18.6 pts

Match videos

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