Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

727.82 – 46.65

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

640 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 860 ±11.7

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 405.38Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8158Bosphorus Robotics

Season APEX 156.9Event APEX 16.28Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 306.16Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.6 ±20.8

9694TUBITECH

Provisional

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 13.89Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11303BEZOAR ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 20.13Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9264HUNTERS ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX 12.63Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 8158, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

727.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 8158, 6459

Auto

111.4 16%

Teleop

429.7 60%

Endgame

173.2 24%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9694, 11303, 9264

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.7 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9694, 11303, 9264

Auto

12.4 29%

Teleop

26.0 61%

Endgame

4.1 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score727.8pts

Blue projected score46.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 681.2
Score range: 23–752
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 690 vs event baseline 132.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

860Season APEX124.6

111.4Auto12.4

429.7Teleop26

173.2Endgame4.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	14
teleop	380	17
endgame	123	9
foul	20	10
total	640	50

Result

Final score

640 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Match videos

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