Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

323.31172.46

87%13%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411227

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.6 ±13.1
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 14.52Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 278.4Event APEX 209.03Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 99.76Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±13.6
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 76.54Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 75.2Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 20.72Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11382, 10131, 9692
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
323.3 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 11382, 10131, 9692
Auto
45.4 14%
Teleop
179.5 57%
Endgame
91.3 29%
Strengths
  • · 10131 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7536, 9545, 6232
69
/ 100 compat
Projected
172.5 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 7536, 9545, 6232
Auto
32.8 20%
Teleop
93.3 58%
Endgame
36.1 22%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score323.3pts
Blue projected score172.5pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
150.9
Score range
146349
Upset likelihood
13%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 145.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.6Season APEX266.6
45.4Auto32.8
179.5Teleop93.3
91.3Endgame36.1
0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6245
teleop23189
endgame11878
foul015
total411227

Result

Final score

411227

Prediction correct · off by 71.1 pts

Match videos

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