Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.35 – 52.21

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

529 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 200.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.7 ±15.6

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 93.71Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7576FMWill

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX -Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX -Rank 12Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141 ±20

7035MEF Thunders

Provisional

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX -Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11389ŞAL RoboRage

Provisional

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX -Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 10.57Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9483, 7576, 10932

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9483, 7576, 10932

Auto

26.2 20%

Teleop

63.1 48%

Endgame

41.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7035, 11389, 10234

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7035, 11389, 10234

Auto

15.4 30%

Teleop

26.2 50%

Endgame

10.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score135.3pts

Blue projected score52.2pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.1
Score range: 30–157
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 124.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.7Season APEX141

13.7Auto2.9

42.3Teleop5.4

33.4Endgame2.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	8
teleop	324	21
endgame	120	16
foul	0	0
total	529	45

Result

Final score

529 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 200.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.