Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.72 – 187.83

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210 ±15.7

9043Valkyrie

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 3.84Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX -4.68Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 46.56Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.4 ±14.6

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 73.75Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7536ANKA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 82.8Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8084ALFA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 31.28Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9043, 11382, 7748

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9043, 11382, 7748

Auto

13.7 38%

Teleop

2.8 8%

Endgame

19.1 54%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10951, 7536, 8084

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10951, 7536, 8084

Auto

23.9 13%

Teleop

89.4 50%

Endgame

64.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score45.7pts

Blue projected score187.8pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.1
Score range: 19–215
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 152.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210Season APEX205.4

13.7Auto23.9

2.8Teleop89.4

19.1Endgame64.7

26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	20
teleop	31	83
endgame	26	65
foul	20	0
total	85	168

Result

Final score

85 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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