Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.36 – 133.15

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.6 ±17.7

10234TEDRA

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 28.08Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11371Odyssey

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -5.38Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10675Energize

Provisional

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 26.66Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±16.4

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 71.86Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 11.05Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 50.24Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10234, 11371, 10675

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10234, 11371, 10675

Auto

11.6 22%

Teleop

24.8 48%

Endgame

15.5 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10951, 10623, 9545

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10951, 10623, 9545

Auto

21.0 16%

Teleop

75.7 58%

Endgame

33.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score133.2pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.8
Score range: 25–157
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 131.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.6Season APEX334

11.6Auto21

24.8Teleop75.7

15.5Endgame33.6

75Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	43
teleop	48	162
endgame	35	46
foul	5	0
total	103	251

Result

Final score

103 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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