Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.36 – 321.63

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.8 ±16.5

7748TECHTOLIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 84.6Event APEX 43.87Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX -6.11Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9024Callister

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 38.6Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478.5 ±17.3

7439Qubit Robotics

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 24.13Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 312.92Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8264ATA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX -15.42Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7748, 8263, 9024

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7748, 8263, 9024

Auto

10.6 16%

Teleop

29.1 45%

Endgame

24.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7439, 6459, 8264

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7439, 6459, 8264

Auto

38.7 13%

Teleop

196.4 64%

Endgame

74.0 24%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.4pts

Blue projected score321.6pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.3
Score range: 53–345
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 129.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.8Season APEX478.5

10.6Auto38.7

29.1Teleop196.4

24.9Endgame74

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	65
teleop	22	253
endgame	24	67
foul	0	20
total	64	405

Result

Final score

64 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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