Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

23.99 – 30.61

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 118.5 ±20.9

11382INTERHERMES

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 7.81Rank 37Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7758MEVOLUTION

Provisional

Season APEX 17.2Event APEX 3.5Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7035MEF Thunders

Provisional

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 12.68Rank 23Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.5 ±22.5

8092Greatest of All Times

Provisional

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 13.54Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 8.49Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10425WhiteFox

Provisional

Season APEX 53Event APEX 8.58Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11382, 7758, 7035

/ 100 compat

Projected

24 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 11382, 7758, 7035

Auto

8.7 39%

Teleop

16.7 76%

Endgame

-3.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8092, 10623, 10425

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8092, 10623, 10425

Auto

5.1 16%

Teleop

21.2 66%

Endgame

5.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score24pts

Blue projected score30.6pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.6
Score range: 0–55
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 67 vs event baseline 133.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

118.5Season APEX124.5

8.7Auto5.1

16.7Teleop21.2

-3.3Endgame5.6

53Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	13
teleop	7	15
endgame	2	12
foul	0	0
total	27	40

Result

Final score

27 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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