Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.82 – 450.46

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 502

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.4 ±19.8

11371Odyssey

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -4.53Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11303BEZOAR ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 24.95Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11389ŞAL RoboRage

Provisional

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 11.4Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.9 ±15.9

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 34.36Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10675Energize

Provisional

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 18.79Rank 25Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9483Overcharge

Season APEX 377.8Event APEX 397.31Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11371, 11303, 11389

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.8 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11371, 11303, 11389

Auto

11.3 40%

Teleop

25.0 89%

Endgame

-8.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10604, 10675, 9483

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.5 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10604, 10675, 9483

Auto

69.4 15%

Teleop

266.6 59%

Endgame

113.0 25%

Strengths

· 9483 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.36 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score31.8pts

Blue projected score450.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -418.6
Score range: 8–474
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 532 vs event baseline 130.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143.4Season APEX577.9

11.3Auto69.4

25Teleop266.6

-8.2Endgame113

48Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	83
teleop	13	293
endgame	3	106
foul	0	20
total	30	502

Result

Final score

30 – 502

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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